Crypto · Market page
Bitcoin (CME)
Long exposure sits in the 86th percentile. The lead participant net position changed −458 contracts over the latest week.
Positions as of21 Jul 2026Released 25 Jul 2026
01
Positioning history
Current exposure in its own range.
Positioning historyBitcoin (CME) exposure is measured against its own history.Lead participant rolling z-score
2026-07-21+1.10σ
02
Participant structure
Who carries the reported exposure.
ParticipantNet contractsRelative size
Asset managers+2.7K
Dealers+4.6K
Leveraged funds−7.9K
Non-reportables−68
Other reportables+667
CFTC participant categories vary by report family. The primary positioning series uses managed money for physical commodities and leveraged funds for financial futures.
03
Comparable states
What followed similar positioning.
| Positioning bucket | N | 4W positive | 8W positive | 12W positive | Avg 12W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| z ≥ 2.0 (extreme long) | 24 | 25.0% | 22.7% | 27.3% | +20.47% |
| 1.5 ≤ z < 2.0 | 24 | 41.7% | 36.4% | 30.0% | +9.46% |
| 1.0 ≤ z < 1.5 | 35 | 42.9% | 51.4% | 60.0% | +0.12% |
| neutral (−1.0 < z < 1.0) | 136 | 55.1% | 46.3% | 41.0% | +4.24% |
| −1.5 < z ≤ −1.0 | 68 | 73.5% | 60.3% | 61.8% | +17.77% |
| −2.0 < z ≤ −1.5 | 57 | 50.9% | 56.1% | 61.4% | +18.57% |
| z ≤ −2.0 (extreme short) | 34 | 50.0% | 61.8% | 64.7% | +54.43% |
Overlapping historical observations. Periods and sample sizes are shown so the comparison can be read in context.